The Modi Government's Intelligence Failure: A Critical Analysis

 

The Modi Government's Intelligence Failure: A Critical Analysis


Recently, Bangladesh faced a major uprising against Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina's government as citizens grew increasingly frustrated with the lack of progress from its policies. The situation escalated to such an extent that PM Sheikh Hasina had to flee the country to avoid being targeted by the angry mob. India, with significant stakes in Bangladesh's stability, failed to foresee and prevent this crisis, marking a significant intelligence failure with potentially long-term political and economic consequences.

Bangladesh is geographically surrounded by India, making it the primary destination for refugees fleeing persecution. The forced departure of a country's leader indicates a complete loss of control over law enforcement and military forces, a dire scenario for any nation.

This failure is emblematic of a broader issue where a substantial portion of the population—20% to 30%—buys into a governance model driven by a volatile mix of religion, politics, and greed. Such ideologies often lead to widespread disappointment among the majority, as seen in Bangladesh. Religion is used to mislead people, politics selectively benefits a few while denying others, and greed drives the entire mechanism. India is experiencing similar trends, though the full impact is not yet widely recognized.

Public funds in India are increasingly diverted to large corporations, burdening common people with tolls and taxes. The masterminds behind these policies remain oblivious or refuse to acknowledge their mistakes until the consequences become undeniable. In Bangladesh, this realization led to a revolt, forcing the PM to flee with the help of powerful allies, including India's own Prime Minister Modi.

Will India wake up to this reality? Prime Minister Modi, arguably the most unqualified leader India has had since independence, prefers to focus on his public image rather than substantive governance. His lack of understanding of global politics makes India vulnerable to exploitation by more powerful nations.

For instance, India's trade deficit with China has ballooned to over $1/2 trillion, reflecting a dependency on cheaper Chinese goods. This dependency undermines India's manufacturing sector and leads to widespread unemployment. While economies like the US can absorb such impacts by diversifying into other industries, even they have felt the negative effects and are now reshoring manufacturing jobs post-COVID-19. This strategy has kept US unemployment near 4% and strengthened its economy—an approach India could benefit from adopting.

Unfortunately, many BJP supporters are too entrenched in religious fervor to recognize these economic pitfalls. They view Modi as a messianic figure, oblivious to the real damage his policies inflict on the nation's economy and global standing.

India must reassess its leadership and policies to avoid repeating the mistakes seen in Bangladesh. Prioritizing national unity, economic stability, and pragmatic governance over divisive politics and religious manipulation is crucial for the nation's future.

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