Election 2024: The Drama, The Polls, and The Debates—or Lack Thereof

 

Election 2024: The Drama, The Polls, and The Debates—or Lack Thereof

History is Waiting to be Made

As we edge closer to the 2024 presidential election, both major parties are busy conducting polls, seemingly trying to get a sneak peek at the future. The polls are, of course, the political equivalent of reading tea leaves—everyone does it, but nobody wants to admit how little they might reveal.

Traditionally, voters have been treated to three presidential debates, with the vice-presidential candidates usually sparring in a single face-off. But this election cycle has decided to buck tradition—because why not? So far, there have been two debates between the presidential candidates, with one notable twist: the Democratic candidate wasn’t the same person in both debates. Yes, you read that right. President Biden, acknowledging that Father Time is undefeated, bowed out of the race, citing health reasons. Enter Kamala Harris, who stepped up to take the Democratic reins.

Now, Donald Trump, never one to shy away from controversy—or a good insult—is conveniently shying away from further debates. The reason? It seems Trump, the self-proclaimed master of the art of the deal, can’t quite deal with Kamala Harris, an opponent who has proven to be a formidable debater. Having lost the first debate to Harris, Trump appears to be playing it safe, choosing to avoid any more opportunities for unscripted verbal combat. After all, impulse control has never exactly been his strong suit.

Harris, for her part, might have preferred another chance to make her case directly to the voters, but she’s not exactly crying into her coffee. With a war chest brimming with campaign donations, she’s more than capable of making her pitch through TV ads, interviews, and press conferences. Not to mention, she’s been crisscrossing the nation, rallying support, and steadily gaining voter confidence in those all-important swing states.

In the latest round of polling, Harris is leading Trump by 8 to 10 points in Virginia—a state that seems to have made up its mind about where it stands this election cycle. Additionally, she’s holding a slim but steady lead in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. If Harris can maintain her edge in these critical battlegrounds, she could be well on her way to becoming the next President of the United States.

Turning our attention to North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona, the numbers are slightly less definitive but still promising for Harris. She’s slightly ahead in North Carolina and nearly tied in Georgia and Arizona. The good news for Democrats? In North Carolina, their gubernatorial candidate is enjoying a comfortable lead, and in Arizona, the Democratic Senate candidate is ahead by a solid 8%. These down-ballot races could very well boost Harris at the top of the ticket.

Now, let’s not get ahead of ourselves. Sure, Trump has ducked out of further debates, but the Democrats have plenty of material from the first one to keep the ad creators busy. They’ll be able to remind voters of that initial showdown, perhaps with a few choice clips of Trump doing what he does best—providing fodder for his opponents. And of course, Trump’s rallies are always good for a few more soundbites that Democrats can use to illustrate what’s at stake.

But let’s not get too comfortable. This race is far from over, and neither candidate can afford to take their foot off the gas until the votes are cast on November 5. It certainly helps to have a younger candidate with the stamina to campaign tirelessly, and while Harris may have had less time to gear up for this final stretch, she’s got the tools she needs to close the deal.

This election is nothing short of historic—a Black woman running against a man who has never been shy about his racist views. If Harris pulls off a victory, it will mark a significant moment in American history, a moment where the nation chose to move forward rather than backward.

So, as we wait for November to arrive, the only certain thing is that this election will be one for the history books—no matter who wins.

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